** The Art of Thinking Clearly by Rolf Dobelli


The Art of Thinking Clearly is a compendium of 99 cognitive errors we make, with a brief description and often amusing examples. Some of my favorites include swimmer’s body (confusing selection and result: swimmers may not look great because they swim, but rather because people who choose to swim have good bodies) social loafing (we tend to try harder when we work by ourselves, not as part of a group), forecast illusion (experts enjoy more publicity if they predict outrageous events, and no consequences if they are wrong), and the planning fallacy (through which we routinely over-estimate what we can accomplish in the future).

That said, it’s a bit of a dry read, and some of the examples struck me as rather sexist. Read in small doses.

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